UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
60%
Johnson
40%
Manuwa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Manuwa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Johnson throws more volume but Manuwa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Manuwa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Johnson
Manuwa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"
Reach
+79"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Manuwa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.1
15.1
60.4
Performance Avg
45.2
55
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
53
Johnson
Manuwa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
11 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Johnson
Manuwa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.4
0.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Manuwa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/28 fights
Chin rating based on
12/23 fights
Johnson
Manuwa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Manuwa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
85%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Manuwa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
JohnsonManuwa
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedManuwa
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (86% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Manuwa targets the head (50% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Manuwa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Manuwa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel CormierRating 2.1Submission
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · KO · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · Sub · R3
Daniel CormierRating 2.8Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Manuwa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03