METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
6%
Ibragimov
94%
Marques
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Danilo MarqueswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Khadis Ibragimov · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marques
→
Actual result
Marques wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Marques is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marques has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Risk flags
Ibragimov's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marques has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IbragimovMarques
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ibragimov
Marques
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
78"+
Reach
77"
31+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ibragimov
Marques
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.7
25.5
0.0
Performance Avg
42.3
0
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
57
Ibragimov
Marques
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
0.0
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance8
3Clinch0
3Ground1
Ibragimov
Marques
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ibragimov
Marques
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Ibragimov
Marques
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
57
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Ibragimov
Marques
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ibragimov
Marques
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
IbragimovMarques
Strike Zones
Ibragimov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMarques
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ibragimov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Marques absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Marques targets the body (56% of attacks) — Ibragimov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ibragimov
RND
Marques
0/0R00/0
Ibragimov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Danilo MarquesDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Sub · R3
Da Woon JungSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
Marques · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · Sub · R2
Mike RodriguezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09