METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Sept 2020
Light Heavyweight
VS
6%
Ibragimov
94%
Marques
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Danilo MarqueswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Khadis Ibragimov · UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Marques
→
Actual result
Marques wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Marques is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Marques has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.
Marques has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ibragimov's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Marques has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IbragimovMarques
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ibragimov
Marques
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'6"
78"+
Reach
77"
31+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ibragimov
Marques
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.7
25.5
0.0
Performance Avg
42.3
0
Quality of Victory
37
0
Momentum Score
57
Ibragimov
Marques
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
90%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
1
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance8
3Clinch0
3Ground1
Ibragimov
Marques
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ibragimov
Marques
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Ibragimov
Marques
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
57
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Ibragimov
Marques
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ibragimov
Marques
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
IbragimovMarques
Strike Zones
Ibragimov
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMarques
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ibragimov targets the head (83% of attacks) — Marques absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Marques targets the body (56% of attacks) — Ibragimov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ibragimov
RND
Marques
0/0R00/0
Ibragimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Marques · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ibragimov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Danilo MarquesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
L · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Sub · R3
Da Woon JungRating 4.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
Marques · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · Sub · R2
Mike RodriguezRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09