UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida
Sao Paulo, Brazil
28 Oct 2017
Flyweight
VS
81%
Figueiredo
19%
Brooks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
Figueiredo is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Figueiredo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Figueiredo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Figueiredo's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Figueiredo
Brooks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
62"
38
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Figueiredo
Brooks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.4
12.9
57.9
Performance Avg
35.0
50
Quality of Victory
25
55
Momentum Score
44
Figueiredo
Brooks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
34%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
4
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Figueiredo
Brooks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueiredo
Brooks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Figueiredo
Brooks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
44
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Figueiredo
Brooks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueiredo
Brooks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
FigueiredoBrooks
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBrooks
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (56% of attacks) — Brooks absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Brooks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueiredo
RND
Brooks
0/0R00/0
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Brooks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Song YadongUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
Brooks · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Robert SanchezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Jose TorresRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Eric SheltonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07