METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Cane
48%
Marshall
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
LC
Luiz Cane
"Banha"
177
6'2"77" reachSouthpaw45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 18
EM
Eliot Marshall
"Fire"
104
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Luiz CanewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:15
def. Eliot Marshall · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cane
Actual result
Cane wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cane at 52% vs Marshall at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cane has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Cane's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CaneMarshall
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cane
Marshall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
77"
45+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cane
Marshall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
16.5
47.8
Performance Avg
40.8
50
Quality of Victory
35
65
Momentum Score
65
Cane
Marshall
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
3.8
2.9
Style: Volume
6.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
24Ground0
Cane
Marshall
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cane
Marshall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Cane
Marshall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cane
Marshall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cane
Marshall
Striking8.4 / 1.0Volume2.9 / 6.3Grappling0.6 / 4.3Wrestling0.4 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.6 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Cane
Strike Zones
Marshall
Cane
Attacking
27HEAD0BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Marshall
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD0BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cane targets the head (93% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Marshall targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cane absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cane
RND
Marshall
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cane · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chris Camozzi
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Stanislav Nedkov
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Eliot Marshall
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Cyrille Diabate
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Rogerio Nogueira
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11

Marshall · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brandon Vera
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz Cane
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir Matyushenko
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason Brilz
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny Magalhaes
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

News & Media

Luiz Cane · Eliot Marshall
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