UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Cane
48%
Marshall
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:15
LC
Luiz Cane
"Banha"
17 – 7
6'2"77" reachSouthpaw45 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 18
EM
Eliot Marshall
"Fire"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cane

This is a genuine toss-up — Cane at 52% vs Marshall at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cane has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Cane has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cane's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cane
Marshall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
77"
45
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cane
Marshall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
16.5
47.8
Performance Avg
40.8
50
Quality of Victory
35
65
Momentum Score
65
Cane
Marshall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.3
0.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
27%
8.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
24Ground0
Cane
Marshall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cane
Marshall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/24 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Cane
Marshall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cane
Marshall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cane
Marshall
Striking8.4 / 1.0Volume2.9 / 6.3Grappling0.6 / 4.3Wrestling0.4 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.6 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Cane
Strike Zones
Marshall
Cane
Attacking
27HEAD0BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Marshall
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD0BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cane targets the head (93% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Marshall targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cane absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cane
RND
Marshall
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0104.0L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L2007-122009-042011-032012-10
WinLossTrend

Marshall · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2008-122009-042009-092010-032011-032011-10
WinLossTrend

Cane · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Stanislav NedkovRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
W · KO · R1
Eliot MarshallRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Cyrille DiabateRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11

Marshall · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04

News & Media

Luiz Cane · Eliot Marshall
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