METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Vancouver, Canada
27 Aug 2016
Lightweight
VS
29%
Lauzon
71%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jim MillerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joe Lauzon · UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Miller is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LauzonMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lauzon
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lauzon
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
43.5
51.5
Performance Avg
51.5
49
Quality of Victory
45
59
Momentum Score
28
Lauzon
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
21
2
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
10Distance15
3Clinch10
2Ground0
Lauzon
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Lauzon
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
28
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Lauzon
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
71%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
14
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lauzon
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
LauzonMiller
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMiller
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (80% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (84% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lauzon
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01