UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Women's Strawweight
VS
45%
Andrade
55%
Namajunas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
5'1"62" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Rose
Rose Namajunas
"Thug"
15 – 8
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Namajunas

This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 45% vs Namajunas at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Namajunas has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Andrade
Namajunas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'5"
62"
Reach
+65"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Namajunas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
63.2
49.4
Performance Avg
55.9
45
Quality of Victory
51
79
Momentum Score
100
Andrade
Namajunas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.0
52%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
10
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
24Distance20
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Andrade
Namajunas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Namajunas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
19/23 fights
Andrade
Namajunas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Andrade
Namajunas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
42%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
3
8
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Andrade
Namajunas
Striking4.7 / 2.9Volume4.9 / 5.9Grappling2.5 / 3.4Wrestling1.8 / 2.4Submission1.8 / 2.5Pressure5.4 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Andrade
Strike Zones
Namajunas
Andrade
Attacking
16HEAD10BODY1LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Namajunas
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD10BODY1LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (59% of attacks) — Namajunas absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Namajunas targets the head (80% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Andrade
RND
Namajunas
0/0R00/0

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Namajunas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0103.0L5.1W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W2.9L5.3W6.8W6.3W5.8L7.1L4.6W5.2W7.0L5.3W7.0L2014-122017-042021-042024-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

Namajunas · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R5
Erin BlanchfieldRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Tracy CortezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Jessica Andrade · Rose Namajunas
← Back to fights