UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Featherweight
VS
55%
Landwehr
45%
Erosa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:56
Nate
Nate Landwehr
"The Train"
18 – 8
5'9"72" reachOrthodox37 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Julian
Julian Erosa
"Juicy J"
31 – 14
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Landwehr

This is a genuine toss-up — Landwehr at 55% vs Erosa at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Erosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Landwehr's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Erosa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Landwehr
Erosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Landwehr
Erosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.3
39.6
42.7
Performance Avg
46.2
41
Quality of Victory
44
88
Momentum Score
26
Landwehr
Erosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.5
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
1
Body
2
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance12
3Clinch2
0Ground1
Landwehr
Erosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Landwehr
Erosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
18/45 fights
Landwehr
Erosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Landwehr
Erosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Landwehr
Erosa
Striking2.9 / 3.2Volume4.1 / 3.7Grappling4.2 / 4.4Wrestling2.9 / 3.0Submission4.0 / 4.4Pressure5.6 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Landwehr
Strike Zones
Erosa
Landwehr
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Erosa
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Landwehr targets the head (56% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Erosa targets the head (73% of attacks) — Landwehr absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Landwehr
RND
Erosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Landwehr · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0101.9L5.0W1.7L6.7W5.3W5.2W6.2L5.5W5.8L5.2L2.0L2020-012021-102023-062025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Erosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L1.5L7.0L4.7L6.6W5.7W1.7L6.3W4.5W4.6W1.7L2.8L5.1W5.6W5.5W6.7L3.9L2015-122020-062022-092025-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Landwehr · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cub SwansonRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dooho ChoiRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Dan IgeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06

Erosa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Lerryan DouglasRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Darren ElkinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Christian RodriguezRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo RamosRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Nate Landwehr · Julian Erosa
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