UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Welterweight
VS
54%
Neal
46%
Price
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Neal
This is a genuine toss-up — Neal at 54% vs Price at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Price throws more volume but Neal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Neal's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Neal
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
35+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Neal
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
48.4
51.7
Performance Avg
46.0
48
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
65
Neal
Price
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance6
1Clinch0
23Ground2
Neal
Price
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Neal
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Neal
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Neal
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Neal
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
NealPrice
Strike Zones
Neal
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPrice
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Neal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Price absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the head (88% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Neal
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Neal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Neal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
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Price · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3Submission
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Jacobe SmithRating 5.1Submission
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