UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2021
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Jones
54%
Kakhramonov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kakhramonov
This is a genuine toss-up — Jones at 46% vs Kakhramonov at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jones has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Jones throws more volume but Kakhramonov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Jones
Kakhramonov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jones
Kakhramonov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.1
41.4
41.0
Performance Avg
47.7
55
Quality of Victory
35
26
Momentum Score
75
Jones
Kakhramonov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
49%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Jones
Kakhramonov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Kakhramonov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Jones
Kakhramonov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
75
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Jones
Kakhramonov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Kakhramonov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
JonesKakhramonov
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedKakhramonov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (50% of attacks) — Kakhramonov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Kakhramonov targets the body (43% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Kakhramonov
0/0R00/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Kakhramonov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R3
Saidyokub KakhramonovRating 4.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08
W · KO · R2
Mario BautistaRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
Kakhramonov · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Said NurmagomedovRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Ronnie LawrenceRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R3
Trevin JonesRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · 2021-08