UFC 112: Invincible
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
10 Apr 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Gustafsson
43%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:55
AG
Alexander Gustafsson
"The Mauler"
18 – 8
6'5"79" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 25
PD
Phil Davis
"Mr. Wonderful"
17 – 4
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'2"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gustafsson

This is a genuine toss-up — Gustafsson at 57% vs Davis at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Gustafsson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Gustafsson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gustafsson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gustafsson
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'2"
79"
Reach
79"
39+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gustafsson
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.8
18.8
50.3
Performance Avg
50.2
47
Quality of Victory
34
39
Momentum Score
64
Gustafsson
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
34%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
4
0
Body
4
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch6
0Ground7
Gustafsson
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.3
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gustafsson
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/21 fights
Gustafsson
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
64
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R4
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gustafsson
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gustafsson
Davis
Striking6.1 / 1.5Volume3.5 / 6.8Grappling2.3 / 4.3Wrestling1.6 / 3.0Submission2.0 / 3.3Pressure6.6 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Gustafsson
Strike Zones
Davis
Gustafsson
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY6LEGS14 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY6LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Gustafsson absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gustafsson
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0

Gustafsson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L5.2W5.0W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W7.3L5.1W1.5L5.5L5.1W5.9W4.5L4.5L1.5L2.7L2009-112011-122015-012019-062022-07
WinLossTrend

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.9W5.5L2010-022010-112012-102014-042015-01
WinLossTrend

Gustafsson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Fabricio WerdumRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Sub · R4
Anthony SmithRating 4.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05

Davis · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

News & Media

Alexander Gustafsson · Phil Davis
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