METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Featherweight
VS
75%
Johnson
25%
Lobov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Michael JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Artem Lobov · UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonLobov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Lobov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
65"
40
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Lobov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
12.0
42.5
Performance Avg
26.4
38
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
50
Johnson
Lobov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
6
8
Body
3
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
30Distance14
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Lobov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Lobov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Johnson
Lobov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
50
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Lobov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Lobov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
JohnsonLobov
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedLobov
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (58% of attacks) — Lobov absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Lobov targets the head (43% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Lobov
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lobov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Lobov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R5
Cub SwansonRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Chris AvilaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08