UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith
Moncton, Canada
27 Oct 2018
Featherweight
VS
75%
Johnson
25%
Lobov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
AL
Artem Lobov
"The Russian Hammer"
13 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'9"
CFR 12

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

Johnson is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson
Lobov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
65"
39
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Lobov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
12.0
42.5
Performance Avg
26.4
38
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
50
Johnson
Lobov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
6
8
Body
3
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
30Distance14
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Lobov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Lobov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Johnson
Lobov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
50
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Lobov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Lobov
Striking4.8 / 0.6Volume6.0 / 8.6Grappling1.5 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Johnson
Strike Zones
Lobov
Johnson
Attacking
18HEAD8BODY5LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY5LEGS14 absorbed
Lobov
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY5LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD8BODY5LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (58% of attacks) — Lobov absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Lobov targets the head (43% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Lobov
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Lobov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W6.0L6.2L5.6L2015-122016-082017-042018-10
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Lobov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till · 2017-10
L · Dec · R5
Cub SwansonRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Teruto IshiharaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Chris AvilaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08

News & Media

Michael Johnson · Artem Lobov
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