UFC Fight Night 5
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Evans
52%
Bonnar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RE
Rashad Evans
"Suga"
19 – 8
6'0"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SB
Stephan Bonnar
"The American Psycho"
15 – 9
Well-Rounded49 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bonnar

This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 48% vs Bonnar at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bonnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bonnar has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Evans
Bonnar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Bonnar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
16.5
53.1
Performance Avg
45.2
46
Quality of Victory
40
25
Momentum Score
48
Evans
Bonnar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Evans
Bonnar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Evans
Bonnar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Evans
Bonnar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
48
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Evans
Bonnar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Evans
Bonnar
Striking5.6 / 3.6Volume5.8 / 5.1Grappling1.4 / 3.2Wrestling1.0 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure4.9 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Evans
Strike Zones
Bonnar
Evans
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Bonnar
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bonnar targets the head (67% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Evans
RND
Bonnar
0/0R00/0

Evans · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.2W5.2W2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W7.3L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.9L5.5L5.5L2.7L2005-112008-092012-012016-042018-06
WinLossTrend

Bonnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W7.3L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W1.5L2005-042006-062009-012010-122012-10
WinLossTrend

Evans · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10

Bonnar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Rashad Evans · Stephan Bonnar
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