METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 5
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Evans
52%
Bonnar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Stephan Bonnar · UFC Fight Night 5
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bonnar
→
Actual result
Evans wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 48% vs Bonnar at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bonnar has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansBonnar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Bonnar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
46+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Bonnar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
16.5
53.1
Performance Avg
45.2
46
Quality of Victory
40
25
Momentum Score
48
Evans
Bonnar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.1
5.8
Style: Volume
5.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
4Ground1
Evans
Bonnar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Bonnar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Evans
Bonnar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
48
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Evans
Bonnar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Bonnar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
EvansBonnar
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBonnar
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bonnar targets the head (67% of attacks) — Evans absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Bonnar
0/0R00/0
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Bonnar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyDecision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiKO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiUFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02