★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Cruz
45%
Johnson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cruz
This is a genuine toss-up — Cruz at 55% vs Johnson at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Cruz throws more volume but Johnson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cruz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruz
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
66"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cruz
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.2
25.2
50.3
Performance Avg
69.9
37
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
85
Cruz
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
58%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
2
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance9
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Cruz
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cruz
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/28 fights
Chin rating based on
18/30 fights
Cruz
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Cruz
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
47%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cruz
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
CruzJohnson
Strike Zones
Cruz
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cruz targets the head (56% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cruz
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Cruz · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
Johnson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · Sub · R5
Ray BorgRating 5.5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Sub · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Dec · R5
Tim ElliottRating 4.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04