UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux
Nashville, USA
8 Aug 2015
Flyweight
VS
52%
Borg
48%
Herrera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borg
This is a genuine toss-up — Borg at 52% vs Herrera at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Herrera has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Herrera throws more volume but Borg connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Borg
Herrera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
63"
Reach
+66"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borg
Herrera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
17.3
42.5
Performance Avg
43.0
32
Quality of Victory
55
89
Momentum Score
29
Borg
Herrera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.8
56%
Strike Accuracy
36%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground2
Borg
Herrera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borg
Herrera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Borg
Herrera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
29
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Borg
Herrera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borg
Herrera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
BorgHerrera
Strike Zones
Borg
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedHerrera
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Borg targets the head (100% of attacks) — Herrera absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Herrera targets the head (67% of attacks) — Borg absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Borg
RND
Herrera
0/0R00/0
Borg · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Herrera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Borg · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio BontorinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Sub · R5
Demetrious JohnsonRating 4Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Herrera · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · Dec · R3
Ali BagautinovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Joby SanchezRating 5.2KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · 2015-08