METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Flyweight
VS
37%
Dodson
63%
Elliott
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
John DodsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Elliott · UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elliott
→
Actual result
Dodson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elliott holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Dodson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dodson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Elliott has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DodsonElliott
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dodson
Elliott
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
66"
41
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dodson
Elliott
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
36.9
50.7
Performance Avg
38.0
45
Quality of Victory
33
100
Momentum Score
43
Dodson
Elliott
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
4.4
Style: Volume
6.5
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
41
8
Body
2
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
30Distance34
1Clinch10
0Ground0
Dodson
Elliott
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Elliott
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
26
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
23/36 fights
Dodson
Elliott
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
Dodson
Elliott
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
30%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dodson
Elliott
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.1
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
DodsonElliott
Strike Zones
Dodson
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedElliott
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (58% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Elliott targets the head (93% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dodson
RND
Elliott
0/0R00/0
Dodson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Elliott · Last 5
Upcoming
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