METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
New York City, USA
6 Nov 2021
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Villante
73%
Barnett
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:23
★ Official Result
Chris BarnettwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:23
def. Gian Villante · UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barnett
→
Actual result
Barnett wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Barnett is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barnett has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barnett has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
VillanteBarnett
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Villante
Barnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
75"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Barnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
55.9
40.8
Performance Avg
46.3
42
Quality of Victory
55
33
Momentum Score
65
Villante
Barnett
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.2
Style: Volume
0.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
4
Body
1
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground9
Villante
Barnett
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Villante
Barnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Villante
Barnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
65
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Villante
Barnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Barnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
VillanteBarnett
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBarnett
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the body (50% of attacks) — Barnett absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Barnett targets the head (59% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Barnett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Barnett · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jake CollierKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04
W · KO · R2
Gian VillanteKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11