★ Championship Bout · Heavyweight
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic
Curitiba, Brazil
14 May 2016
Heavyweight
VS
27%
Werdum
73%
Miocic
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miocic
Miocic is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miocic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miocic has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Werdum
Miocic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
77"
Reach
+80"
48
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Miocic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
56.3
57.8
Performance Avg
64.9
52
Quality of Victory
59
72
Momentum Score
78
Werdum
Miocic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
4 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
10
4
Body
1
6
Leg
9
RangeRange
15Distance16
0Clinch1
0Ground3
Werdum
Miocic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Miocic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
10
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Werdum
Miocic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
78
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
Werdum
Miocic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
64%
4
KO / TKO Wins
9
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Miocic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
WerdumMiocic
Strike Zones
Werdum
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMiocic
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Miocic absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Miocic targets the head (50% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Miocic
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Werdum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Miocic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Miocic · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jon JonesRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · KO · R2
Francis NgannouRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Daniel CormierRating 4.5Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R4
Daniel CormierRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Daniel CormierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07