UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
London, United Kingdom
16 Feb 2013
Lightweight
VS
66%
Etim
34%
Forte
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Etim
Etim holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Forte has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Etim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Etim has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Etim's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Forte has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Etim
Forte
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
71"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Etim
Forte
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
9.8
50.5
Performance Avg
25.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
58
Momentum Score
33
Etim
Forte
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
32%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
10
2
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch4
0Ground6
Etim
Forte
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Etim
Forte
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Etim
Forte
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Etim
Forte
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Etim
Forte
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
EtimForte
Strike Zones
Etim
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedForte
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Etim targets the body (67% of attacks) — Forte absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Forte targets the head (83% of attacks) — Etim absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Etim
RND
Forte
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Etim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Forte · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Etim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renee ForteRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Sub · R1
Edward FaalolotoRating 5Submission
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R2
Shannon GugertyRating 5.2Submission
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Forte · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrevinoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · KO · R1
John MakdessiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Terry EtimRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4Submission
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10