UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Middleweight
VS
51%
Bekoev
49%
Gore
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bekoev
This is a genuine toss-up — Bekoev at 51% vs Gore at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bekoev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Bekoev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bekoev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gore has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Bekoev
Gore
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
+75"
30+
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Bekoev
Gore
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.6
58.8
56.0
Performance Avg
46.8
60
Quality of Victory
50
58
Momentum Score
85
Bekoev
Gore
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
58%
Strike Accuracy
44%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
12
2
Body
2
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
5Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Bekoev
Gore
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bekoev
Gore
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/11 fights
Bekoev
Gore
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
85
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Bekoev
Gore
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bekoev
Gore
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
BekoevGore
Strike Zones
Bekoev
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedGore
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bekoev targets the head (40% of attacks) — Gore absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Gore targets the head (60% of attacks) — Bekoev absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bekoev
RND
Gore
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bekoev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Gore · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Bekoev · Last 4
L · Sub · R3
Tresean GoreRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Yousri BelgarouiRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Ryan LoderRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Zach ReeseRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
Gore · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Azamat BekoevRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodolfo VieiraRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R2
Marco TulioRating 4.1KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Antonio TrocoliRating 5Submission
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W · Sub · R2
Josh FremdRating 5.2Submission
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