METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Middleweight
VS
35%
Gastelum
65%
Pyfer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Joe PyferwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kelvin Gastelum · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pyfer
→
Actual result
Pyfer wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pyfer holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Gastelum has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pyfer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Gastelum's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GastelumPyfer
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gastelum
Pyfer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
71"
Reach
+75"
34
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Gastelum
Pyfer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
75.7
47.4
Performance Avg
66.6
42
Quality of Victory
53
28
Momentum Score
100
Gastelum
Pyfer
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
7.5
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
8.6
6.3
Style: Volume
2.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
16
3
Body
3
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance17
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Gastelum
Pyfer
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gastelum
Pyfer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/19 fights
Gastelum
Pyfer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Gastelum
Pyfer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
86%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
9
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gastelum
Pyfer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
GastelumPyfer
Strike Zones
Gastelum
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedPyfer
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gastelum targets the head (57% of attacks) — Pyfer absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Pyfer targets the head (84% of attacks) — Gastelum absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gastelum
RND
Pyfer
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Gastelum · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Dustin StoltzfusDecision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Joe PyferDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Sub · R3
Sean BradySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
Pyfer · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Israel AdesanyaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Abus MagomedovSubmission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultKO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02