METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Lightweight
VS
98%
Medic
2%
Cruz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Uros MedicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:40
def. Aalon Cruz · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Medic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Medic is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 71 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 59 points.
Risk flags
Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruz has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedicCruz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medic
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Medic
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.8
1.6
64.7
Performance Avg
0.0
59
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Medic
Cruz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
9.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
1.4
Style: Volume
0.0
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
3Clinch0
35Ground0
Medic
Cruz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Medic
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Medic
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Medic
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
8
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medic
Cruz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MedicCruz
Strike Zones
Medic
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedCruz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Medic targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medic
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
Cruz · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Spike CarlyleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02