METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Las Vegas, USA
6 Mar 2021
Lightweight
VS
98%
Medic
2%
Cruz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Uros MedicwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:40
def. Aalon Cruz · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Medic wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Medic is a strong favourite at 98% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 70 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruz has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedicCruz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medic
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Medic
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
1.6
62.7
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Medic
Cruz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
0.4
63%
Strike Accuracy
13%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
3Clinch0
35Ground0
Medic
Cruz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Medic
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Medic
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Medic
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medic
Cruz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MedicCruz
Strike Zones
Medic
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedCruz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Medic targets the head (96% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medic
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Medic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Cruz · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Spike CarlyleRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02