UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Mexico City, Mexico
29 Mar 2025
Featherweight
VS
50%
Emmers
50%
Miranda
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Jamall
Jamall Emmers
"Pretty Boy"
22 – 8
5'10"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Gabriel
Gabriel Miranda
"Fly"
17 – 8
Submission Hunter2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Emmers

This is a genuine toss-up — Emmers at 50% vs Miranda at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Miranda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Emmers has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Emmers's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miranda has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Emmers
Miranda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
74"+
Reach
71"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Emmers
Miranda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.6
44.2
45.6
Performance Avg
42.4
39
Quality of Victory
54
40
Momentum Score
29
Emmers
Miranda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.1
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
10
7
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
26Distance16
3Clinch2
4Ground0
Emmers
Miranda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Emmers
Miranda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
34
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Emmers
Miranda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
29
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Emmers
Miranda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Emmers
Miranda
Striking5.1 / 0.5Volume5.9 / 0.5Grappling1.4 / 8.0Wrestling1.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.5 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Emmers
Strike Zones
Miranda
Emmers
Attacking
24HEAD7BODY2LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY3LEGS18 absorbed
Miranda
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY3LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD7BODY2LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Emmers targets the head (73% of attacks) — Miranda absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Miranda targets the head (56% of attacks) — Emmers absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Emmers
RND
Miranda
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Emmers · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L4.5W2.5L4.5W6.3L5.5W2.2L5.5W5.6W2020-032023-022024-032025-11
WinLossTrend

Miranda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.5L5.0W4.0L2.0L2022-092023-092024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Emmers · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hyder AmilRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 2.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
W · KO · R1
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Miranda · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Jamall EmmersRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Morgan CharriereRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Shane YoungRating 5
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09

News & Media

Jamall Emmers · Gabriel Miranda
← Back to fights