UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Women's Bantamweight
VS
96%
Ladd
4%
Evinger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ladd
Ladd is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ladd has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
Ladd has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Evinger has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ladd
Evinger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
31+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ladd
Evinger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.6
1.5
51.4
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Ladd
Evinger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
43%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
43
Head
2
7
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
7Clinch6
40Ground0
Ladd
Evinger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ladd
Evinger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
54
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/27 fights
Ladd
Evinger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Ladd
Evinger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ladd
Evinger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LaddEvinger
Strike Zones
Ladd
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedEvinger
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ladd targets the head (86% of attacks) — Evinger absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Evinger targets the body (67% of attacks) — Ladd absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ladd
RND
Evinger
0/0R00/0
Ladd · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Evinger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Ladd · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R5
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R1
Germaine de RandamieRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Evinger · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Lina LansbergRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R1
Aspen LaddRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
L · KO · R3
Cristiane JustinoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07