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UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jun 2023
Lightweight
VS
89%
Miller
11%
Butler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 0:23
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Jesse
Jesse Butler
12 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'10"
CFR 6
β˜… Official Result
Jim MillerwinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 0:23
def. Jesse Butler Β· UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
β†’
Actual result
Miller wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

Miller is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 45 points.

Striking split: Butler throws more volume but Miller connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MillerButler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Miller
Butler
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Butler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
5.5
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Miller
Butler
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
29%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Miller
Butler
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Butler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Miller
Butler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
Miller
Butler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miller
Butler
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume3.5 / 0.0Grappling4.7 / 0.0Wrestling3.3 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Miller
Strike Zones
Butler
Miller
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Butler
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Butler absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Butler targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Miller absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Miller
RND
Butler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Miller Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Butler Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.9L5.9L2023-062024-06
WinLossTrend

Miller Β· Last 5

W Β· Sub Β· R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes Β· 2025-04
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Β· 2024-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill Β· 2024-04
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 Β· 2024-01

Butler Β· Last 2

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Brad KatonaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov Β· 2024-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi Β· 2023-06

News & Media

Jim Miller Β· Jesse Butler
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