The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Dec 2007
Welterweight
VS
88%
Goulet
12%
Georgieff
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:42
JG
Jonathan Goulet
"The Road Warrior"
2312
6'0"73" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
PG
Paul Georgieff
62
Well-Rounded43 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Goulet

Goulet is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Goulet has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Georgieff has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Goulet's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Goulet
Georgieff
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
46
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Goulet
Georgieff
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
2.5
41.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Goulet
Georgieff
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
4.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
7Ground3
Goulet
Georgieff
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Goulet
Georgieff
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Goulet
Georgieff
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Goulet
Georgieff
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Goulet
Georgieff
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Goulet
Strike Zones
Georgieff
Goulet
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 absorbed
Georgieff
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY2LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Goulet targets the head (91% of attacks) — Georgieff absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Georgieff targets the head (75% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Goulet
RND
Georgieff
0/0R00/0

Goulet · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0104.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L2.8L2005-102006-082008-042010-05
WinLossTrend

Goulet · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09

Georgieff · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Jonathan GouletRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12

News & Media

Jonathan Goulet · Paul Georgieff
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