METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Dec 2007
Welterweight
VS
88%
Goulet
12%
Georgieff
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:42
JG
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Jonathan GouletwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:42
def. Paul Georgieff · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Goulet
→
Actual result
Goulet wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Goulet is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goulet has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Georgieff has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Goulet's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GouletGeorgieff
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Goulet
Georgieff
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Goulet
Georgieff
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
2.5
41.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Goulet
Georgieff
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
4.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance8
0Clinch1
7Ground3
Goulet
Georgieff
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Goulet
Georgieff
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
1/8 fights
Goulet
Georgieff
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Goulet
Georgieff
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Goulet
Georgieff
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GouletGeorgieff
Strike Zones
Goulet
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedGeorgieff
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Goulet targets the head (91% of attacks) — Georgieff absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Georgieff targets the head (75% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Goulet
RND
Georgieff
0/0R00/0
Goulet · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
Georgieff · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Jonathan GouletRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12