METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Lightweight
VS
32%
Marcello
68%
Madadi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cristiano MarcellowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Reza Madadi · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Madadi
→
Actual result
Marcello wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Madadi holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Marcello has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Madadi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Marcello throws more volume but Madadi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MarcelloMadadi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Marcello
Madadi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marcello
Madadi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.7
21.0
25.0
Performance Avg
46.0
25
Quality of Victory
48
28
Momentum Score
78
Marcello
Madadi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
25
4
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
30Distance28
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Marcello
Madadi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Marcello
Madadi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Marcello
Madadi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Marcello
Madadi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marcello
Madadi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
MarcelloMadadi
Strike Zones
Marcello
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedMadadi
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marcello targets the head (78% of attacks) — Madadi absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Madadi targets the head (86% of attacks) — Marcello absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marcello
RND
Madadi
0/0R00/0
Marcello · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Madadi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Marcello · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Joe ProctorRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Kazuki TokudomeRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
W · Dec · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
Madadi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Joe DuffyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · KO · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
W · Sub · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04