UFC 51: Super Saturday
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2005
Middleweight
VS
92%
Loiseau
8%
Ray
Win Probability
DL
David Loiseau
"The Crow"
2311
6'0"76" reachOrthodox46 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
GR
Gideon Ray
1715
Well-Rounded3-fight slide52 yrsSouthpaw5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Loiseau

Loiseau is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Loiseau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 43 points.

Striking split: Ray throws more volume but Loiseau connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ray has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Loiseau
Ray
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
46+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Loiseau
Ray
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
1.8
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
43
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Loiseau
Ray
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
40%
5.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
2
1
Body
4
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
2Distance4
3Clinch6
12Ground1
Loiseau
Ray
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Loiseau
Ray
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
64
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
9/34 fights
Chin rating based on
3/32 fights
Loiseau
Ray
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · R1
Loiseau
Ray
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Loiseau
Ray
Striking5.9 / 0.0Volume0.9 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Loiseau
Strike Zones
Ray
Loiseau
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD4BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Ray
Attacking
2HEAD4BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Loiseau targets the head (94% of attacks) — Ray absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Ray targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Loiseau absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Loiseau
RND
Ray
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Loiseau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5L4.0W5.2W4.2W5.5L5.5L5.7L2.8L2003-042005-062006-092010-06
WinLossTrend

Ray · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.3
0104.0L1.5L1.5L2005-022005-082006-11
WinLossTrend

Loiseau · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Mario MirandaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike SwickRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 58: USA vs Canada · 2006-03
W · R2
Evan TannerRating 4.2
UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10

Ray · Last 3

L · Sub · R1
Charles McCarthyRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
L · R1
David LoiseauRating 4
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02

News & Media

David Loiseau · Gideon Ray
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