UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Tybura
51%
Spivac
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Spivac
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 49% vs Spivac at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Spivac has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Striking split: Spivac throws more volume but Tybura connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spivac has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tybura
Spivac
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
78"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Spivac
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
45.1
45.2
Performance Avg
52.0
37
Quality of Victory
47
58
Momentum Score
33
Tybura
Spivac
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
2Clinch1
9Ground0
Tybura
Spivac
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Spivac
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/24 fights
Tybura
Spivac
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Tybura
Spivac
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Spivac
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
TyburaSpivac
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSpivac
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (93% of attacks) — Spivac absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Spivac targets the head (80% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Spivac
0/0R00/0
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Spivac · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
Spivac · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Ante DelijaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09