UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Featherweight
VS
25%
Lamas
75%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:13
CFR 63
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oliveira
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lamas
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
63.3
52.0
Performance Avg
58.6
44
Quality of Victory
51
98
Momentum Score
100
Lamas
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Lamas
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lamas
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Lamas
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Lamas
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
84%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
17
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
LamasOliveira
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04