METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Mexico City, Mexico
5 Nov 2016
Featherweight
VS
25%
Lamas
75%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:13
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Ricardo LamaswinsSubmissionR2 · 2:13
def. Charles Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Lamas wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LamasOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lamas
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
44
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lamas
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
63.3
52.0
Performance Avg
58.6
44
Quality of Victory
51
98
Momentum Score
100
Lamas
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
8.0
4.2
Style: Volume
2.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Lamas
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.1
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
6.8
3
Submission wins
17
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lamas
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Lamas
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Lamas
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
84%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
17
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
LamasOliveira
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarKO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticDecision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04