METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Middleweight
VS
82%
Smith
18%
Gigliotti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Trevor SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joseph Gigliotti · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Smith is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithGigliotti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Gigliotti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
45
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Gigliotti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
2.4
31.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Smith
Gigliotti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.8
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch2
11Ground1
Smith
Gigliotti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smith
Gigliotti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Smith
Gigliotti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Smith
Gigliotti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Gigliotti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SmithGigliotti
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGigliotti
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gigliotti absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gigliotti targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Gigliotti
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
Gigliotti · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08