METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Middleweight
VS
82%
Smith
18%
Gigliotti
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Trevor SmithwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joseph Gigliotti · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Smith
→
Actual result
Smith wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Smith is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smith has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Smith's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SmithGigliotti
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Smith
Gigliotti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
45
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Smith
Gigliotti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.9
2.4
31.7
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Smith
Gigliotti
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
1Clinch2
11Ground1
Smith
Gigliotti
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smith
Gigliotti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/9 fights
Smith
Gigliotti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Smith
Gigliotti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smith
Gigliotti
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SmithGigliotti
Strike Zones
Smith
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGigliotti
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Smith targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gigliotti absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gigliotti targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Smith
RND
Gigliotti
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Gigliotti · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
Gigliotti · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08