METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Women's Strawweight
VS
44%
Lookboonmee
56%
Thainara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alexia ThainarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Loma Lookboonmee · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thainara
→
Actual result
Thainara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lookboonmee at 44% vs Thainara at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Thainara throws more volume but Lookboonmee connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LookboonmeeThainara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'4"
61"
Reach
+67"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
67.6
47.2
Performance Avg
61.3
32
Quality of Victory
36
80
Momentum Score
100
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
4
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance4
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lookboonmee
Thainara
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
LookboonmeeThainara
Strike Zones
Lookboonmee
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedThainara
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lookboonmee targets the body (67% of attacks) — Thainara absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Thainara targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lookboonmee absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lookboonmee
RND
Thainara
0/0R00/0
Lookboonmee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Thainara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lookboonmee · Last 5
Upcoming
Jaqueline AmorimUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Alexia ThainaraRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Istela NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Elise ReedRating 5.2Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Thainara · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Bruna BrasilRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Loma LookboonmeeRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03