UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo
Las Vegas, USA
13 Jun 2020
Bantamweight
VS
47%
Espinosa
53%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JE
Jordan Espinosa
"The Gamer"
15 – 9
5'6"69" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 12
MD
Mark De La Rosa
"Bumblebee"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight slide31 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'6"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rosa

This is a genuine toss-up — Espinosa at 47% vs Rosa at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rosa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Espinosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rosa has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Espinosa
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
65"
36
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Espinosa
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.5
13.0
28.3
Performance Avg
33.8
25
Quality of Victory
37
45
Momentum Score
33
Espinosa
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
31%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
4
6
Body
6
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
16Distance12
5Clinch2
18Ground0
Espinosa
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Espinosa
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
60
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/24 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Espinosa
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Espinosa
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Espinosa
Rosa
Striking0.7 / 0.6Volume8.7 / 4.6Grappling2.4 / 5.2Wrestling1.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure1.0 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Espinosa
Strike Zones
Rosa
Espinosa
Attacking
30HEAD6BODY3LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Rosa
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD6BODY3LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Espinosa targets the head (77% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the body (43% of attacks) — Espinosa absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Espinosa
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0

Espinosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.5W1.7L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.6L2019-032019-082020-012020-062020-092021-03
WinLossTrend

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L5.2W4.5W6.8L6.4L2.8L5.5L2017-122018-112019-082020-06
WinLossTrend

Espinosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tim ElliottRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
David DvorakRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · Sub · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · Sub · R1
Matt SchnellRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Raulian PaivaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11

News & Media

Jordan Espinosa · Mark De La Rosa
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