UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Bantamweight
VS
55%
Menjivar
45%
Reis
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IM
Ivan Menjivar
"The Pride of El Salvador"
25 – 12
5'6"64" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
WR
Wilson Reis
23 – 10
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Menjivar

This is a genuine toss-up — Menjivar at 55% vs Reis at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Menjivar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Menjivar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reis has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Menjivar
Reis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
64"
Reach
+65"
43
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Menjivar
Reis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
15.5
46.7
Performance Avg
41.5
48
Quality of Victory
33
64
Momentum Score
65
Menjivar
Reis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
4
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
2Ground7
Menjivar
Reis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menjivar
Reis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/37 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Menjivar
Reis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Menjivar
Reis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
29%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Menjivar
Reis
Striking3.4 / 1.1Volume2.9 / 6.8Grappling4.6 / 4.0Wrestling3.2 / 2.8Submission5.0 / 2.9Pressure6.6 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Menjivar
Strike Zones
Reis
Menjivar
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 absorbed
Reis
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY3LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Menjivar targets the head (67% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Reis targets the head (36% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 36% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Menjivar
RND
Reis
0/0R00/0

Menjivar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L2004-062012-022013-022014-03
WinLossTrend

Reis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.2L5.5L4.5W2.8L2013-092015-052017-042019-04
WinLossTrend

Menjivar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
L · Sub · R1
Urijah FaberRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Azamat GashimovRating 5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

News & Media

Ivan Menjivar · Wilson Reis
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