UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Welterweight
VS
22%
Sanchez
78%
Gall
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:13
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gall
Gall is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gall has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Gall has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gall has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Gall
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+74"
44
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Sanchez
Gall
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
12.7
45.1
46.0
Performance Avg
47.5
37
Quality of Victory
48
20
Momentum Score
56
Sanchez
Gall
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
39%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
7
8
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
2Clinch0
35Ground3
Sanchez
Gall
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.1
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sanchez
Gall
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/44 fights
Chin rating based on
13/14 fights
Sanchez
Gall
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
56
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Sanchez
Gall
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
32%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
5
13
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Gall
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.3
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
SanchezGall
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedGall
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (78% of attacks) — Gall absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Gall targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Gall
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Gall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Gall · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ramiz BrahimajRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Bassil HafezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Mike MalottRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Jordan WilliamsRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
