UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
3 Feb 2024
Lightweight
VS
10%
Quinones
90%
Mederos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mederos
Mederos is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mederos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Quinones throws more volume but Mederos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Quinones
Mederos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
+29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Quinones
Mederos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.9
60.8
0.0
Performance Avg
55.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
100
Quinones
Mederos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.8
36%
Strike Accuracy
62%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
12
4
Body
9
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
18Distance24
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Quinones
Mederos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Quinones
Mederos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/10 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Quinones
Mederos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Quinones
Mederos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Quinones
Mederos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
QuinonesMederos
Strike Zones
Quinones
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMederos
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Quinones targets the head (78% of attacks) — Mederos absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Mederos targets the head (44% of attacks) — Quinones absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Quinones
RND
Mederos
0/0R00/0
Quinones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.5WinLossTrend
Mederos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Quinones · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
MarQuel MederosRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Mederos · Last 4
Upcoming
Chris PadillaDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Mark ChoinskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02

