UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Jr.
50%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jr.
This is a genuine toss-up — Jr. at 50% vs Oleksiejczuk at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jr.'s chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
36
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.7
54.6
52.0
Performance Avg
55.3
48
Quality of Victory
53
77
Momentum Score
52
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/22 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
77
52
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jr.
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Jr.Oleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Jr.
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jr. targets the head (100% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (86% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jr.
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jr. · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Alex PereiraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
Abus MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

