METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Flyweight
VS
52%
Pettis
48%
Kelades
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Sergio PettiswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Kelades · UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pettis
→
Actual result
Pettis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pettis at 52% vs Kelades at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pettis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pettis's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PettisKelades
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pettis
Kelades
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
32+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Kelades
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
13.1
40.7
Performance Avg
35.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
55
Momentum Score
44
Pettis
Kelades
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
13
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance7
3Clinch5
0Ground2
Pettis
Kelades
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Kelades
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pettis
Kelades
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
44
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Pettis
Kelades
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pettis
Kelades
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
PettisKelades
Strike Zones
Pettis
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKelades
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kelades absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Kelades targets the head (93% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pettis
RND
Kelades
0/0R00/0
Pettis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Kelades · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jussier FormigaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Henry CejudoRating 7Decision
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
Kelades · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · Sub · R3
Ray BorgRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10