UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Portland, USA
29 Aug 2009
Middleweight
VS
50%
Rosholt
50%
Leben
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rosholt
This is a genuine toss-up — Rosholt at 50% vs Leben at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Leben throws more volume but Rosholt connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Leben has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rosholt
Leben
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
Reach
73"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Rosholt
Leben
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
17.4
40.3
Performance Avg
50.5
45
Quality of Victory
48
52
Momentum Score
59
Rosholt
Leben
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Rosholt
Leben
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosholt
Leben
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/17 fights
Chin rating based on
22/33 fights
Rosholt
Leben
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
59
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Rosholt
Leben
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosholt
Leben
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
RosholtLeben
Strike Zones
Rosholt
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLeben
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosholt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Leben absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Leben targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Rosholt absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosholt
RND
Leben
0/0R00/0
Rosholt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Leben · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Rosholt · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Kendall GroveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
W · Sub · R3
Chris LebenRating 5.5Submission
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Sub · R1
Dan MillerRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
Leben · Last 5
L · R1
Uriah HallRating 4UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrew CraigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11
W · KO · R1
Wanderlei SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07