METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
New York City, USA
15 Nov 2025
Featherweight
VS
49%
Sabatini
51%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Pat SabatiniwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chepe Mariscal · UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mariscal
→
Actual result
Sabatini wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sabatini at 49% vs Mariscal at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Sabatini's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SabatiniMariscal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sabatini
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"+
Reach
69"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sabatini
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
56.9
53.2
Performance Avg
51.9
34
Quality of Victory
31
81
Momentum Score
80
Sabatini
Mariscal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
3.9
7.0
Style: Volume
8.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Sabatini
Mariscal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sabatini
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Sabatini
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
80
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Sabatini
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sabatini
Mariscal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
SabatiniMariscal
Strike Zones
Sabatini
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMariscal
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sabatini targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the body (100% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sabatini
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
William GomisDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
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Mariscal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosDecision
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W · Dec · R3
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Jack JenkinsKO/TKO
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