METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Lightweight
VS
90%
Stevenson
10%
Mishima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:07
★ Official Result
Joe StevensonwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:07
def. Dokonjonosuke Mishima · UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stevenson
→
Actual result
Stevenson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Stevenson is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stevenson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Risk flags
Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StevensonMishima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stevenson
Mishima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
44+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stevenson
Mishima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
2.1
49.2
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
86
Momentum Score
0
Stevenson
Mishima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.0
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Stevenson
Mishima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stevenson
Mishima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Stevenson
Mishima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Stevenson
Mishima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stevenson
Mishima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StevensonMishima
Strike Zones
Stevenson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMishima
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the body (100% of attacks) — Mishima absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mishima targets the body (100% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stevenson
RND
Mishima
0/0R00/0
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezDecision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigKO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosDecision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherKO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Mishima · Last 2
L · Sub · R3
Kenny FlorianSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Joe StevensonSubmission
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11