METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Sacramento, USA
18 Nov 2006
Lightweight
VS
90%
Stevenson
10%
Mishima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:07
★ Official Result
Joe StevensonwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:07
def. Dokonjonosuke Mishima · UFC 65: Bad Intentions
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stevenson
→
Actual result
Stevenson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Stevenson is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stevenson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Stevenson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stevenson's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StevensonMishima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stevenson
Mishima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
44+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stevenson
Mishima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
2.1
49.2
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
86
Momentum Score
0
Stevenson
Mishima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
33%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Stevenson
Mishima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stevenson
Mishima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
76
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/49 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Stevenson
Mishima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
86
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Stevenson
Mishima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stevenson
Mishima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StevensonMishima
Strike Zones
Stevenson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMishima
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stevenson targets the body (100% of attacks) — Mishima absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mishima targets the body (100% of attacks) — Stevenson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stevenson
RND
Mishima
0/0R00/0
Stevenson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Mishima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Stevenson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Javier VazquezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
L · KO · R1
Mac DanzigRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · 2010-12
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10
Mishima · Last 2
L · Sub · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Joe StevensonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11