The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Barcelos
46%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:12
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
5'7"67" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Chris
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22 – 7
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'9"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barcelos

This is a genuine toss-up — Barcelos at 54% vs Gutierrez at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Barcelos throws more volume but Gutierrez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Barcelos
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
67"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barcelos
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.6
44.2
49.8
Performance Avg
49.3
34
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
25
Barcelos
Gutierrez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
61%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
0Distance5
0Clinch0
30Ground1
Barcelos
Gutierrez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barcelos
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
82
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
15/29 fights
Barcelos
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
25
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Barcelos
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barcelos
Gutierrez
Striking3.3 / 4.4Volume6.6 / 7.0Grappling3.0 / 1.7Wrestling2.1 / 1.2Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Barcelos
Strike Zones
Gutierrez
Barcelos
Attacking
30HEAD0BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Gutierrez
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD0BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barcelos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barcelos
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Gutierrez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.0W6.0L5.1W6.8L5.0W5.3W7.0L2018-112021-022023-042025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

News & Media

Raoni Barcelos · Chris Gutierrez
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