UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Lightweight
VS
77%
Miller
23%
White
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
White has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Miller
White
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Miller
White
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
13.2
51.5
Performance Avg
40.8
45
Quality of Victory
41
28
Momentum Score
15
Miller
White
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
48%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
3
2
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch1
7Ground0
Miller
White
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
White
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
10/19 fights
Miller
White
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
15
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Miller
White
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
14
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
White
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
MillerWhite
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedWhite
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (73% of attacks) — White absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯White targets the head (60% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
White
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
White · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
White · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan MoretRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09