METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Las Vegas, USA
29 Apr 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
10%
Cowan
90%
Horth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jamey-Lyn HorthwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Hailey Cowan · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Horth
→
Actual result
Horth wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Horth is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Horth has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Striking split: Horth throws more volume but Cowan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cowan's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CowanHorth
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cowan
Horth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
67"+
Reach
66"
34+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cowan
Horth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
5.1
48.4
0.0
Performance Avg
43.1
0
Quality of Victory
34
0
Momentum Score
60
Cowan
Horth
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
6
Body
12
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance15
3Clinch9
1Ground0
Cowan
Horth
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cowan
Horth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/12 fights
Chin rating based on
7/12 fights
Cowan
Horth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cowan
Horth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cowan
Horth
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
CowanHorth
Strike Zones
Cowan
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedHorth
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cowan targets the head (63% of attacks) — Horth absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Horth targets the body (50% of attacks) — Cowan absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cowan
RND
Horth
0/0R00/0
Cowan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Horth · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Cowan · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Alice PereiraRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Nora CornolleRating 3.4Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Jamey-Lyn HorthRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
Horth · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Tereza BledaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Ivana PetrovicRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11