UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Welterweight
VS
51%
Riddle
49%
Bruno
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
Matthew Riddle
"Deep Waters"
8 – 3
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw40 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 18
SB
Steve Bruno
"Hollywood"
15 – 6
Submission Hunter44 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Riddle

This is a genuine toss-up — Riddle at 51% vs Bruno at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bruno has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Riddle throws more volume but Bruno connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Riddle
Bruno
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
76"
Reach
40+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Riddle
Bruno
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
17.6
45.6
Performance Avg
43.0
29
Quality of Victory
50
88
Momentum Score
35
Riddle
Bruno
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
15
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch0
15Ground0
Riddle
Bruno
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Riddle
Bruno
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12 fights
Chin rating based on
3/21 fights
Riddle
Bruno
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
35
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Riddle
Bruno
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Riddle
Bruno
Striking2.8 / 0.7Volume7.1 / 0.7Grappling1.7 / 8.0Wrestling1.2 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Riddle
Strike Zones
Bruno
Riddle
Attacking
4HEAD15BODY1LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Bruno
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD15BODY1LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Riddle targets the body (75% of attacks) — Bruno absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bruno targets the head (100% of attacks) — Riddle absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Riddle
RND
Bruno
0/0R00/0

Riddle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W2008-062009-112010-122012-11
WinLossTrend

Bruno · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.2W5.5L2008-082008-122009-02
WinLossTrend

Riddle · Last 5

Upcoming
Che Mills
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
John MaguireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
Upcoming
Chris Clements
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
W · Dec · R3
Henry MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09

Bruno · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
W · Sub · R2
Johnny ReesRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris WilsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08

News & Media

Matthew Riddle · Steve Bruno
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