UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
79%
Tate
21%
Carmouche
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tate
Tate is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Carmouche has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tate's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tate
Carmouche
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
65"
Reach
+66"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tate
Carmouche
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
14.0
42.5
Performance Avg
38.6
38
Quality of Victory
31
94
Momentum Score
40
Tate
Carmouche
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
52%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
0
Body
2
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
9Ground4
Tate
Carmouche
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.7
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tate
Carmouche
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
80
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
10/20 fights
Tate
Carmouche
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
40
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tate
Carmouche
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tate
Carmouche
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
TateCarmouche
Strike Zones
Tate
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedCarmouche
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tate targets the head (90% of attacks) — Carmouche absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Carmouche targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tate
RND
Carmouche
0/0R00/0
Tate · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Carmouche · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
Carmouche · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Alexis DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
W · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 4.8Decision
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · 2016-11
