METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Adelaide, Australia
9 May 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
88%
Rawlings
12%
Ellis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:09
★ Official Result
Bec RawlingswinsSubmissionR1 · 4:09
def. Lisa Ellis · UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rawlings
→
Actual result
Rawlings wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Rawlings is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rawlings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Rawlings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RawlingsEllis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rawlings
Ellis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
64"
Reach
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
—
Rawlings
Ellis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
2.1
35.1
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Rawlings
Ellis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
10Clinch3
7Ground2
Rawlings
Ellis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rawlings
Ellis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/26 fights
Rawlings
Ellis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Rawlings
Ellis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rawlings
Ellis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RawlingsEllis
Strike Zones
Rawlings
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedEllis
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rawlings targets the head (81% of attacks) — Ellis absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Ellis targets the head (86% of attacks) — Rawlings absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rawlings
RND
Ellis
0/0R00/0
Rawlings · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Ellis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Rawlings · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ashlee Evans-SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
Ellis · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Bec RawlingsRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Felice HerrigRating 2.8Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12