UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
Adelaide, Australia
9 May 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
88%
Rawlings
12%
Ellis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:09
BR
Bec Rawlings
"Rowdy"
7 – 8
5'6"64" reachOrthodox37 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
LE
Lisa Ellis
15 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide43 yrs5'4"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rawlings

Rawlings is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Rawlings has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Rawlings has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Rawlings
Ellis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
64"
Reach
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
—
Rawlings
Ellis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.0
2.1
35.1
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Rawlings
Ellis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
4
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
10Clinch3
7Ground2
Rawlings
Ellis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rawlings
Ellis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/26 fights
Rawlings
Ellis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Rawlings
Ellis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rawlings
Ellis
Striking0.6 / 0.0Volume4.6 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Rawlings
Strike Zones
Ellis
Rawlings
Attacking
17HEAD4BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Ellis
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD4BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rawlings targets the head (81% of attacks) — Ellis absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Ellis targets the head (86% of attacks) — Rawlings absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rawlings
RND
Ellis
0/0R00/0

Rawlings · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L6.2L5.5L5.5L2014-122016-032017-022018-04
WinLossTrend

Ellis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0102.8L1.5L2014-122015-05
WinLossTrend

Rawlings · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ashlee Evans-SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Seo Hee HamRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03

Ellis · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Bec RawlingsRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Felice HerrigRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12

News & Media

Bec Rawlings · Lisa Ellis
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