METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Saint Petersburg, Russia
20 Apr 2019
Middleweight
VS
93%
Jotko
7%
Amedovski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Krzysztof JotkowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alen Amedovski · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jotko
→
Actual result
Jotko wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jotko is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jotko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Risk flags
Jotko's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Amedovski has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JotkoAmedovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jotko
Amedovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jotko
Amedovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
1.8
42.8
Performance Avg
0.0
28
Quality of Victory
0
60
Momentum Score
0
Jotko
Amedovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
8.6
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Jotko
Amedovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jotko
Amedovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
42
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/30 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Jotko
Amedovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Jotko
Amedovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jotko
Amedovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
JotkoAmedovski
Strike Zones
Jotko
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedAmedovski
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jotko targets the head (79% of attacks) — Amedovski absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jotko
RND
Amedovski
0/0R00/0
Jotko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Amedovski · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Joe PyferKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
L · Sub · R1
Joseph HolmesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
John PhillipsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04