UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
50%
Sadykhov
50%
McKinney
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sadykhov
This is a genuine toss-up — Sadykhov at 50% vs McKinney at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McKinney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
McKinney has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McKinney has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sadykhov
McKinney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
69"
Reach
+73"
32
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Sadykhov
McKinney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.5
65.7
55.9
Performance Avg
59.3
40
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
98
Sadykhov
McKinney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
5.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sadykhov
McKinney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sadykhov
McKinney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
10
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
13/26 fights
Sadykhov
McKinney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · R1
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Sadykhov
McKinney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sadykhov
McKinney
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
SadykhovMcKinney
Strike Zones
Sadykhov
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMcKinney
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sadykhov targets the head (67% of attacks) — McKinney absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯McKinney targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sadykhov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sadykhov
RND
McKinney
0/0R00/0
Sadykhov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
McKinney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sadykhov · Last 5
Upcoming
Matheus CamiloUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Fares ZiamRating 3.9KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Nikolas MottaRating 5.9KO/TKO
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Upcoming
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
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McKinney · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Kyle NelsonRating 5.1KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R1
Chris DuncanRating 2.8Submission
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.5Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Esteban RibovicsRating 2.2KO/TKO
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