METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2026
Featherweight
VS
32%
Baghdasaryan
68%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:17
Melsik
Melsik Baghdasaryan
"The Gun"
8 – 3
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 38
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
"The Highlight"
10 – 0
Submission Hunter27 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 80
★ Official Result
Murtazali MagomedovwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:17
def. Melsik Baghdasaryan · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Magomedov
Murtazali Magomedov by decision. Controls with wrestling throughout and wins cle…
→
Actual result
Magomedov wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

An unbeaten Dagestani power prospect faces a scrappy Armenian gatekeeper.

Murtazali Magomedov is 10-0 and carries the weight of expectation that comes with a Dagestani unbeaten record. The model's limited data gives him a neutral CFR of 81.2 — high enough to project confidence — and the intangibles suggest a wrestling-heavy approach that should trouble a striker like Baghdasaryan. Melsik Baghdasaryan (8-3) has a balanced striking game and enough toughness to make it int…

Baghdasaryan intel

Baghdasaryan is a capable 145-pounder with a striking background and enough grit to cause problems. His chin (66) is below average and could be a target.

Magomedov intel

Magomedov is the unbeaten prospect of the two and arrives with model data suggesting a significant quality advantage. Details are limited but his unbeaten record speaks.

Key angles

Whether Magomedov's wrestling can immediately control Baghdasaryan

Baghdasaryan's counter-striking if Magomedov shoots carelessly

Risk flags

Limited data on Magomedov creates genuine uncertainty — upsets are possible

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BaghdasaryanMagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+27
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.7
80.2
41.0
Performance Avg
72.4
35
Quality of Victory
54
25
Momentum Score
100
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
10.0
6.3
Style: Volume
2.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
3
3
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
1/10 fights
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Baghdasaryan
Magomedov
Striking4.3 / 2.0Volume6.3 / 2.0Grappling1.6 / 8.0Wrestling1.1 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure3.8 / 10.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
Baghdasaryan
Strike Zones
Magomedov
Baghdasaryan
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Magomedov
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Baghdasaryan targets the body (100% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (60% of attacks) — Baghdasaryan absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Baghdasaryan
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0

Baghdasaryan · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Murtazali Magomedov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Jean Silva
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tucker Lutz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Josh Culibao
Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Bruno Souza
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

Magomedov · Last 1

W · Sub · R1
Melsik Baghdasaryan
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

News & Media

Melsik Baghdasaryan · Murtazali Magomedov
← Back to fights
DAFABETBet on UFC & MMA · Competitive odds on every main card
18+ · Gamble ResponsiblyBET NOW ↗
🥊 Bet Now
Our trusted bookmakers
Trusted Bookmakers
⚡
Cloudbet
Crypto sports betting
CRYPTO
🎁 New customer offer: 100% up to 5 BTC welcome bonus
BET NOW→
🎯
Dafabet
MMA & UFC specialist
SPORTS
🎁 New customer offer: Competitive odds on every main card
BET NOW→
18+ · Gamble Responsibly. Odds shown are best available and subject to change. Combatrics may earn commission from bookmaker links. If gambling is affecting you, visit BeGambleAware.org.
🥊
Combatrics Support
Online · Usually replies quickly

👋 Got a question about a fighter, stat or fight? Drop us a message and we'll get back to you.

Combatrics

Powered by Combatrics · We typically reply within a few hours