METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
74%
Crute
26%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:49
★ Official Result
Jimmy CrutewinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:49
def. Sam Alvey · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Crute
→
Actual result
Crute wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Crute is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CruteAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Crute
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
30+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Crute
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
22.9
56.7
Performance Avg
44.3
55
Quality of Victory
45
91
Momentum Score
43
Crute
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
1.2
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
2
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Crute
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Crute
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Crute
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Crute
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
CruteAlvey
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanSubmission
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W · Sub · R1
Marcin PrachnioSubmission
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Upcoming
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Alonzo MenifieldSubmission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Upcoming
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Sub · R2
Brendan AllenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Wellington TurmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R2
Julian MarquezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
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