UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
74%
Crute
26%
Alvey
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Crute
Crute is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Crute has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Crute's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Crute
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
+75"
30+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Crute
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
22.9
56.7
Performance Avg
44.3
55
Quality of Victory
45
91
Momentum Score
43
Crute
Alvey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
2 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
2
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Crute
Alvey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Crute
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/18 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Crute
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Crute
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Crute
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
CruteAlvey
Strike Zones
Crute
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Crute targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the head (100% of attacks) — Crute absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Crute
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Crute · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Alvey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Crute · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Ivan ErslanRating 5Submission
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Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
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